Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 71.200730 80.084554 89.208123 99.248141 109.956839 121.008910 133.249266
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 57.292427 69.975404 83.626031 99.287114 116.638880 135.164585 156.329286
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 49.358207 64.166715 80.665712 100.157714 122.315229 146.498858 174.672333
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 42.207752 58.240174 76.688712 99.065811 125.077438 154.002319 188.247976
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 37.853689 55.032263 75.354947 100.550438 130.371330 164.024194 204.369110
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 34.458200 52.596628 74.606100 102.428897 135.879668 174.105994 220.417679
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 30.227161 48.694948 71.730130 101.453845 137.773126 179.809687 231.275220
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 25.954990 44.339586 67.954407 99.080127 137.739601 183.054184 239.106099
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 24.638464 43.826195 68.966947 102.570908 144.752005 194.594299 256.646988
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 23.075969 42.821085 69.227490 105.025585 150.435871 204.520600 272.281087
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 20.396500 39.988795 66.884998 103.995178 151.680418 209.021688 281.407262
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 17.979572 37.322232 64.591642 102.879136 152.697452 213.157001 290.028574
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 16.182477 35.468248 63.340353 103.099596 155.414868 219.421409 301.314395
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 14.559968 33.741135 62.161759 103.338718 158.107147 225.634807 312.546082
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 13.275768 32.438688 61.499431 104.203762 161.555490 232.754248 324.868937
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 11.592929 30.289617 59.469990 103.088481 162.344274 236.500871 333.026225
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 10.725687 29.477159 59.370935 104.609406 166.569204 244.549560 346.482882
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 10.025636 28.897551 59.580169 106.534198 171.315761 253.258757 360.773947
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 8.743499 27.085622 57.786812 105.535163 172.103895 256.908764 368.766148
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 7.309841 24.781687 55.077648 103.102711 170.871734 257.911943 373.406089
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 7.143085 25.045727 56.491493 106.679684 177.803594 269.413180 391.223204
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 6.792757 24.883280 57.188529 109.194296 183.289267 279.065691 406.745918
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.861762 23.337192 55.517097 108.138797 183.835665 282.305460 414.179918